Israeli election polls, exit polls and results
Compare Israeli election polls, final-week averages and exit polls with Knesset election results. Explore party seat estimates, the forecast model and polling accuracy.
Election day · October 27, 2026 / CEC snapshot · October 30, 2026 / Source files checked · November 1, 2026
Values are estimates in seats. The final-week average gives each poll equal weight. The model accounts for pollsters and poll age; historical estimates use the archive. Publication dates can differ from fieldwork end dates.
The 2026 seat allocations are calculated from CEC votes using the Bader–Ofer method and surplus-vote agreements. The atlas groups lists into political blocs.
Polls
| Method | Netanyahu bloc | Opposition | Arab lists | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final-week poll average | 53.7 | 50.1 | 14.2 | 2 |
| Election-eve model | 53.2 | 50.3 | 13.5 | 3 |
| Average of initial exit polls | 52.5 | 50.2 | 17.2 | 0 |
| Result from the count | 53 | 48 | 19 | 0 |